Baseball Betting

Colonials face tall task in clash with Panthers

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/08/2010 - Pittsburgh, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pittsburgh Panthers take a break from their Big East Conference schedule this evening to battle the Robert Morris Colonials of the Northeast Conference at the Petersen Events Center in the Steel City.

Robert Morris enters this tilt playing its best ball of the season, as the club has won its last nine games to move to 16-8 overall and 11-1 in league action. The Colonials are fresh off Saturday's 75-63 triumph over St. Francis (PA), and the hope tonight is that the club can improve a 6-5 road record. Robert Morris has played only one other Big East Conference opponent this season, as the club was crushed in the opener by Syracuse, 100-60.

Pittsburgh carried a two-game skid into Saturday's clash with Seton Hall, and the Panthers had lost four of their last five entering that showdown. Fortunately, they knocked off the Pirates by an 83-58 final to move to 17-6 overall and 7-4 in conference. There is reason for confidence tonight, as they are 12-1 at home thus far.

The Panthers beat up on the Colonials last season by a 92-72 final and have won all 27 of all-time meetings with Robert Morris. Furthermore, Pitt is 65-0 versus Northeast Conference members.

Through 24 games, Robert Morris is scoring 69.7 ppg while allowing 68.1 ppg to opponents. Obviously, a differential of +1.6 ppg is surprisingly low for a team that has won twice as many games as it has lost, but lopsided non- conference losses like the one to Syracuse help explain the numbers. Karon Abraham is the only double-digit scorer in the fold for the Colonials, as he is netting 12.9 ppg on the strength of his 45.9 percent shooting from three- point range. In the recent triumph over St. Francis (PA), Abraham scored 14 points, while Velton Jones pitched in 13 points and five assists. As for Dallas Green, he posted 12 points and eight boards for the Colonials, who shot 64.1 percent from the field while limiting their overmatched opponent to 31.3 percent shooting.

Gilbert Brown scored 23 points off the bench to lead Pittsburgh to the easy victory over Seton hall two days ago. Jermaine Dixon netted 15 points, Brad Wanamaker tallied 13 points and seven assists, while Gary McGhee finished with 12 points and 11 rebounds for the Panthers. They also got 11 points from Ashton Gibbs, and the team shot 51.7 percent overall while holding the Pirates to 35.7 percent efficiency. Pitt earned a 39-30 rebounding advantage and finished with 20 assists against only nine turnovers. Gibbs continues to lead Pitt in scoring with 16.3 ppg, and Wanamaker provides 12.3 ppg and 6.3 rpg. Brown (11.3 ppg) and Dixon (10.1 ppg) round out the productive foursome for the Panthers, who are limiting opponents to 60.6 ppg on 39.4 percent shooting from the field. The team is mediocre offensively in regard to output, as it is generating 67.4 ppg.


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What Is the Point Spread?

What are Sports Betting Point Spreads?

In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.

Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).

If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).

Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.

How to Read Point Spreads

New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)

In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:

  • Philly wins the actual game by any amount of points
    OR
  • Philly loses the game by less than 7 points.
  • There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.

    The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:

    Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots

    Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.

    For Those Who Like to Consider Things Mathematically

    Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:

  • Subtracting the point spread from the favorite’s score (thus the minus sign before the number) and then compare to the underdog’s score
    OR
  • Adding the point spread to the underdog’s score (thus the plus sign before the number) and then compare to the favorite’s score

    Who Really “Won” the Super Bowl odds ?

    Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21

    The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.

    Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.

    Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).

    Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.

    And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.

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